🛡️ U.S. STRIKE DECISION WINDOW NEARS AS ISRAEL PREPARES FOR IRAN WAR SCENARIOS INCLUDING HEZBOLLAH, HOUTHI, AND HAMAS ENTRY AND POSSIBLE GAZA CONQUEST
‼️ U.S. DECISION TIMELINE: President Trump is expected to convene all relevant parties on the Iran issue tomorrow and reach a decision by 3:00 PM (U.S. time), approximately one hour before the close of trading on Wall Street.
♟️ U.S. STRIKE PLANNING AND REGIONAL RESPONSE SCENARIOS: A U.S. official told Al Jazeera: “We estimate that Hezbollah's entry into the war on the side of Iran depends on the scale of the potential military strike”.
The same U.S. official told Al Jazeera: “The military plans provided to President Trump range from a limited strike to overthrowing the regime. Military plans take into account the repercussions associated with the possible collapse of the regime in Iran”.
The U.S. official added: “We expect Iran to wage war on multiple fronts if it is subjected to a military strike. The military plans take into account protecting our forces and interests, as well as protecting our allies and partners”.
A U.S. Central Command spokesperson told Bloomberg: “The US kamikaze drone unit is ready if a decision is made to strike Iran”.
U.S. military officials told The New York Times that despite the U.S. military buildup near Iran, the Pentagon lacks the forces and munitions needed for a prolonged bombing campaign. One official estimated current U.S. forces in the region could sustain strikes for only 7 to 10 days.
♟️ ISRAELI WAR PREPARATIONS AND MULTI-THEATER ASSESSMENTS: Based on reports from Geneva that the gaps between the United States and Iran remain substantial, the prevailing assessment in Israel is that a military strike could be imminent. Kan News reported Israel is preparing for the possibility that negotiations collapse between Iran and the United States.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Air Force has evacuated its base in Qatar, a move that further underscores the seriousness of the situation.
An Israeli official told Yedioth Ahronoth: “The possibility of Hezbollah joining the fight against Israel if Iran is attacked is concerning, and we are addressing it”.
Regardless of the outcome of the U.S.–Iran talks in Geneva, Israel is preparing for the possibility that the negotiations could collapse and that the U.S. may attack Iran. The working assumption in Israel is that any U.S. strike would trigger an Iranian response against Israel, as Iranian officials have previously stated, Yedioth Ahronoth reported.
According to Israeli assessments, if a war breaks out, it will be a multi-front conflict, and the Houthis are likely to be the first to join.
A dramatic security assessment was held in Israel this evening amid growing concerns over a possible war with Iran. The following key points were emphasized: If war erupts, it is expected to unfold across multiple theaters, with the Houthis likely to be the first to enter the confrontation.
Should Hamas join the fighting, the direct consequence would be the full conquest of the Gaza Strip and the elimination of its remaining leadership.
The assessment also addressed Hezbollah and the Iranian-backed militias in Iraq. The prevailing evaluation is that their leadership is reluctant to enter the war at this stage, although internal factions within these organizations are pressing for involvement.
The Iran-backed Iraqi militia Kataib Hezbollah issued a statement calling on all fighters to prepare for a long “war of attrition” in the event of a U.S. attack on Iran.
Additionally, Israeli officials estimate that campus protests inside Iran are likely to expand in the coming days.
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