🗳️ CHANNEL 14 POLL HOLDS NETANYAHU BLOC AT 64, WITH SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN POLLSTERS: A Channel 14 / NEXT DATA poll conducted September 15 among 483 adults gives Likud 30 seats, Eisenkot’s Yashar 21, Shas 10, Democrats 9, Religious Zionism–Zehut 8, Otzma Yehudit 8, Bennett’s B’Yachad 8, United Torah Judaism 8, Joint List 7, Yisrael Beiteinu 6 and Ra’am 5. Shas is the third-largest party in this survey.
The bloc totals remain unchanged from Channel 14’s previous poll: Netanyahu’s bloc 64, the non-Arab opposition 44 and the Arab parties 12. Netanyahu’s bloc remains three seats above the 61-seat majority threshold.
Within that unchanged balance, Likud falls from 31 to 30 seats and Yashar from 22 to 21. Bennett rises from seven to eight, and UTJ from seven to eight. Religious Zionism–Zehut and Otzma Yehudit each remain at eight. The Likud–Bennett gap narrows from 24 to 22 seats, still substantially wider than in most other pollsters’ results.
Winter rises from 2.1% to 2.3%, while the finalized Hendel–Zelekha “Reservists-Economic” list rises from 1.4% to 2.1%. Both remain below the 3.25% electoral threshold. By contrast, Kan and News 12 each gave both lists four seats on September 14.
Kan’s September 14 poll put the two main blocs level at 52–52. News 12 put Netanyahu’s bloc at 50 and the established non-Arab opposition at 54, with Hendel–Zelekha separately on four. Channel 14 gives Netanyahu’s bloc 64 even with both Winter and Hendel–Zelekha excluded.
The comparison does not establish a new cross-pollster surge for Netanyahu: Channel 14’s bloc totals are flat, and its majority remains sharply different from Kan, News 12 and recent Lazar polling. The results demonstrate a persistent divide between polling estimates without establishing its methodological cause.
Channel 14 also does not confirm the apparent strengthening of Winter and Hendel–Zelekha in the previous day’s surveys. Their prospects of crossing the threshold remain uncertain and sensitive to the pollster, while the supplied comparison places the merged Smotrich–Feiglin list in a safer position.
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